January 22, 2020      3:35 PM

GOP internal poll shows Gates up 13 points over Markowitz in Fort Bend County Texas House special election

It’s fair to say the district’s electorate will likely not perform the same as other “suburban” communities where Democrats have a better shot this fall; Democrats maintain “we have one of the best data teams in the country who put us in a significantly better place than in the first round of voting for the November election so far"

New poll numbers are coming to light – and early voting numbers are coming in – that may dampen the spirits of Democrats working overtime to flip the Fort Bend County Texas House seat vacated last year by former Appropriations Committee Chairman John Zerwas.

The numbers in an internal poll conducted for the campaign of Republican candidate Gary Gates were reviewed by Quorum Report. The pollster who did the work is reputable and has a reliable track record. That said, seasoned political observers are quick to point out that polling in a special election presents specific challenges.

These poll numbers show Gates leading Democrat Dr. Eliz Markowitz by a substantial margin and they reveal an electorate that is probably not representative of the kind of district where Democrats may have much better chances of flipping Texas House seats this fall. That’s part of why no one should ever read too much into one poll or overanalyze the results of a single special election. Yes, dear reader, you are correct that literally nothing could be said now to prevent the latter from happening one week from today.

Now, to the numbers:

By Scott Braddock

Copyright January 22, 2020, Harvey Kronberg, www.quorumreport.com, All rights are reserved