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March 23, 2026 5:11 PM
Kronberg argues Talarico strategy may be avoiding the elephant in the room
The GOP playbook for the last 25 years includes campaigning on a number of fronts but closing the sale with culture war issues at the end of the election. Based on the history of those campaigns, Kronberg says it may prove unwise for Talarico to dismiss those issues out of hand as distractions now only to have them come back and bite him later
The
question of the day is whether James Talarico is truly the new wonderkid
of Democratic politics a candidate potentially following
the same flame-out path of other once promising Democratic stars like Wendy
Davis and Beto O’Rourke.
Let’s
start with some predicates
First,
there are simply more Republican voters in Texas than Democratic ones. Republicans
have long enjoyed a 10+ percentage structural advantage in their base vote here.
The conventional wisdom is that John Cornyn can engage that 10%
structural advantage whereas the walking ethical mess that is Ken Paxton
cuts that advantage by at least half.
Second,
while recent but pre-Iran War polling suggests the president’s
approval in Texas has declined it has not been precipitous. What is significant,
at least according to the UT Politics Project poll, is that
suburban voters have had a double-digit swing from +8% to -9% in Trump approval.
Talarico will lose rural Texas, is likely to win urban Texas with the true
battleground likely in the suburbs (AKA white suburban housewives).
Perhaps
most significant is the historic growth in self-identified independent voters.
The rest of the story, subscribers only
By Harvey Kronberg
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Copyright March 23, 2026, Harvey Kronberg, www.quorumreport.com, All rights are reserved
March 23, 2026 1:10 PM
Lt. Gov. Patrick adjusts Texas Senate committee assignments
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can download them.
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Copyright March 23, 2026, Harvey Kronberg, www.quorumreport.com, All rights are reserved
March 23, 2026 9:42 AM
Texas Senate select committee formed on Religious Liberty to be chaired by Sen. Phil King
The membership includes Paxton, Blanco, Hagenbuch, Adam Hinojosa, Hughes, and Perry
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Copyright March 23, 2026, Harvey Kronberg, www.quorumreport.com, All rights are reserved